TOR 121-95 MIA, April 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat MIA 121-95, and TOR's shots were worth 131.4 points to MIA's 115.8.

TOR 121-95 MIA, April 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	99	110	119.1	11/16	12.2	121	131.4
MIA	91	78	100.5	17/19	15.4	95	115.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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