MIL 131-115 MEM, April 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat MEM 131-115, but MEM's shots were worth 120.1 points to MIL's 115.3.

MIL 131-115 MEM, April 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	83	116	97.3	15/24	18.0	131	115.3
MEM	92	93	98.3	22/28	21.8	115	120.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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