CHI 110-120 PHX, April 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat CHI 120-110, but CHI's shots were worth 126.9 points to PHX's 114.3.

CHI 110-120 PHX, April 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI9192108.818/2318.1110126.9
PHX8910396.517/2217.8120114.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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