DEN 136-134 SAS, April 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat SAS 136-134, but SAS's shots were worth 126.9 points to DEN's 124.4.

DEN 136-134 SAS, April 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	101	117	106.5	19/22	18.0	136	124.4
SAS	101	109	105.0	25/27	21.8	134	126.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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