MIA 152-136 WAS, April 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat WAS 152-136, and MIA's shots were worth 135.9 points to WAS's 132.4.

MIA 152-136 WAS, April 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	93	125	109.0	27/34	26.9	152	135.9
WAS	106	117	113.6	19/24	18.7	136	132.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.