HOU 140-106 UTA, April 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat UTA 140-106, and HOU's shots were worth 126.3 points to UTA's 124.2.

HOU 140-106 UTA, April 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HOU92117102.823/3023.5140126.3
UTA9691107.815/2216.4106124.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.