GSW 111-118 CLE, April 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat GSW 118-111, but GSW's shots were worth 108.9 points to CLE's 105.0.

GSW 111-118 CLE, April 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
GSW949493.117/2015.8111108.9
CLE8210084.918/2620.1118105.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.