CHA 127-107 PHX, April 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHA beat PHX 127-107, and CHA's shots were worth 115.9 points to PHX's 106.5.

CHA 127-107 PHX, April 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA93114103.713/1512.1127115.9
PHX9110098.47/108.1107106.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.