GSW 113-127 SAS, April 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat GSW 127-113, and SAS's shots were worth 122.1 points to GSW's 102.0.

GSW 113-127 SAS, April 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
GSW869888.015/1813.9113102.0
SAS9310398.324/3023.7127122.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.