UTA 117-130 DEN, April 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat UTA 130-117, and DEN's shots were worth 122.9 points to UTA's 119.8.

UTA 117-130 DEN, April 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA95100101.317/2518.6117119.8
DEN9110498.126/3124.8130122.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.