MEM 112-120 DAL, March 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat MEM 120-112, and DAL's shots were worth 125.0 points to MEM's 121.8.

MEM 112-120 DAL, March 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	98	96	104.9	16/22	16.9	112	121.8
DAL	93	101	106.4	19/24	18.6	120	125.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.