HOU 119-113 MIL, April 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat MIL 119-113, and HOU's shots were worth 112.4 points to MIL's 103.6.

HOU 119-113 MIL, April 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	87	100	95.6	19/22	16.8	119	112.4
MIL	89	101	91.8	12/16	11.8	113	103.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

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