CHI 126-145 IND, April 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat CHI 145-126, but CHI's shots were worth 135.9 points to IND's 127.7.

CHI 126-145 IND, April 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI97107115.819/2620.1126135.9
IND102136119.99/107.8145127.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.