TOR 115-123 SAC, April 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat TOR 123-115, and SAC's shots were worth 125.6 points to TOR's 115.0.

TOR 115-123 SAC, April 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	77	93	91.6	22/32	23.3	115	115.0
SAC	92	96	102.5	27/29	23.2	123	125.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.