LAC 104-114 POR, March 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat LAC 114-104, and POR's shots were worth 114.9 points to LAC's 99.6.

LAC 104-114 POR, March 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	76	86	80.5	18/23	19.0	104	99.6
POR	91	97	100.5	17/18	14.4	114	114.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.