HOU 111-94 NYK, March 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat NYK 111-94, but NYK's shots were worth 99.7 points to HOU's 98.0.

HOU 111-94 NYK, March 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	78	99	85.7	12/16	12.3	111	98.0
NYK	85	82	87.0	12/16	12.6	94	99.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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