DET 127-116 TOR, March 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat TOR 127-116, but TOR's shots were worth 123.1 points to DET's 105.8.

DET 127-116 TOR, March 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	73	101	82.4	26/30	23.4	127	105.8
TOR	89	96	99.4	20/31	23.7	116	123.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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