LAL 120-101 WAS, March 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat WAS 120-101, and LAL's shots were worth 111.9 points to WAS's 111.7.

LAL 120-101 WAS, March 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	79	95	87.0	25/32	24.8	120	111.9
WAS	93	89	99.2	12/16	12.5	101	111.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.