OKC 114-110 DET, March 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat DET 114-110, but DET's shots were worth 121.5 points to OKC's 115.9.

OKC 114-110 DET, March 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC818688.228/3227.7114115.9
DET9798105.212/2316.3110121.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.