DAL 94-124 MIN, March 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat DAL 124-94, but DAL's shots were worth 123.9 points to MIN's 120.9.

DAL 94-124 MIN, March 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	89	69	98.2	25/34	25.6	94	123.9
MIN	96	116	111.8	8/12	9.2	124	120.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.