MIA 119-109 PHI, March 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat PHI 119-109, and MIA's shots were worth 117.9 points to PHI's 110.6.

MIA 119-109 PHI, March 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIA939794.722/2923.2119117.9
PHI969294.717/1915.9109110.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.