DEN 116-93 GSW, March 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat GSW 116-93, and DEN's shots were worth 104.3 points to GSW's 100.8.

DEN 116-93 GSW, March 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	86	105	94.5	11/12	9.9	116	104.3
GSW	83	84	92.3	9/11	8.5	93	100.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.