NOP 102-134 HOU, March 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat NOP 134-102, and HOU's shots were worth 133.9 points to NOP's 117.5.

NOP 102-134 HOU, March 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NOP868397.119/2820.4102117.5
HOU105116117.718/2116.2134133.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.