TOR 139-87 ORL, March 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat ORL 139-87, and TOR's shots were worth 134.2 points to ORL's 107.0.

TOR 139-87 ORL, March 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	94	121	117.6	18/22	16.7	139	134.2
ORL	82	71	91.3	16/19	15.6	87	107.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.