IND 135-118 MIA, March 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat MIA 135-118, but MIA's shots were worth 117.5 points to IND's 111.3.

IND 135-118 MIA, March 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	92	124	101.5	11/13	9.8	135	111.3
MIA	99	105	103.2	13/18	14.3	118	117.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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