LAL 116-99 BKN, March 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat BKN 116-99, but BKN's shots were worth 113.9 points to LAL's 103.8.

LAL 116-99 BKN, March 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAL708771.929/4231.9116103.8
BKN9690101.89/1512.199113.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.