DEN 135-129 UTA, March 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat UTA 135-129, and DEN's shots were worth 133.2 points to UTA's 126.5.

DEN 135-129 UTA, March 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DEN95109107.126/3226.1135133.2
UTA95115112.514/1914.0129126.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.