MEM 109-119 HOU, March 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat MEM 119-109, and HOU's shots were worth 131.9 points to MEM's 118.3.

MEM 109-119 HOU, March 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MEM9193103.916/1814.4109118.3
HOU93100111.419/2620.5119131.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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