BOS 109-102 ATL, March 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat ATL 109-102, but ATL's shots were worth 110.3 points to BOS's 102.8.

BOS 109-102 ATL, March 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	81	90	83.9	19/23	18.9	109	102.8
ATL	87	83	91.1	19/24	19.2	102	110.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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