DEN 142-135 DAL, March 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat DAL 142-135, but DAL's shots were worth 135.5 points to DEN's 124.2.

DEN 142-135 DAL, March 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	89	119	101.2	23/29	22.9	142	124.2
DAL	97	108	109.4	27/34	26.1	135	135.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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