MIN 110-108 HOU, March 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat HOU 110-108, and MIN's shots were worth 127.7 points to HOU's 121.9.

MIN 110-108 HOU, March 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	108	103	119.8	7/10	7.9	110	127.7
HOU	93	85	101.8	23/25	20.0	108	121.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.