CLE 103-120 MIA, March 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat CLE 120-103, but CLE's shots were worth 109.0 points to MIA's 108.8.

CLE 103-120 MIA, March 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	81	82	90.4	21/24	18.6	103	109.0
MIA	81	102	91.4	18/22	17.4	120	108.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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