No. ATL beat DET 130-129, but DET's shots were worth 120.4 points to ATL's 119.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 102 | 113 | 105.4 | 16/19 | 15.0 | 129 | 120.4 |
| ATL | 105 | 118 | 106.7 | 12/17 | 13.2 | 130 | 119.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.