PHX 123-125 DEN, March 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat PHX 125-123, but PHX's shots were worth 121.9 points to DEN's 115.7.

PHX 123-125 DEN, March 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	89	95	94.2	28/37	27.8	123	121.9
DEN	88	103	91.4	22/30	24.3	125	115.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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