DAL 131-137 GSW, March 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat DAL 137-131, and GSW's shots were worth 130.9 points to DAL's 110.5.

DAL 131-137 GSW, March 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	87	118	95.7	13/20	14.8	131	110.5
GSW	101	119	112.3	18/24	18.6	137	130.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.