ATL 146-107 MEM, March 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat MEM 146-107, and ATL's shots were worth 129.5 points to MEM's 112.8.

ATL 146-107 MEM, March 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL92123109.723/2519.8146129.5
MEM838492.023/2620.7107112.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.