DEN 128-112 POR, March 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat POR 128-112, but POR's shots were worth 119.3 points to DEN's 110.1.

DEN 128-112 POR, March 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	90	116	100.0	12/13	10.1	128	110.1
POR	97	100	106.8	12/16	12.4	112	119.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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