DAL 131-138 LAC, March 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat DAL 138-131, but DAL's shots were worth 127.9 points to LAC's 111.0.

DAL 131-138 LAC, March 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	102	109	105.5	22/29	22.3	131	127.9
LAC	90	123	96.5	15/18	14.5	138	111.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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