ORL 104-105 LAL, March 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat ORL 105-104, and LAL's shots were worth 111.5 points to ORL's 105.0.

ORL 104-105 LAL, March 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	83	83	86.6	21/23	18.4	104	105.0
LAL	87	86	89.7	19/29	21.8	105	111.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.