DEN 121-115 TOR, March 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat TOR 121-115, and DEN's shots were worth 108.9 points to TOR's 106.2.

DEN 121-115 TOR, March 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	81	102	88.1	19/25	20.7	121	108.9
TOR	86	98	89.1	17/23	17.1	115	106.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.