DET 115-101 GSW, March 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat GSW 115-101, and DET's shots were worth 118.7 points to GSW's 102.7.

DET 115-101 GSW, March 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DET869596.920/2921.8115118.7
GSW768282.519/2620.2101102.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.