NOP 105-99 LAC, March 19, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat LAC 105-99, but LAC's shots were worth 110.2 points to NOP's 102.1.

NOP 105-99 LAC, March 19, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	78	87	85.1	18/22	17.0	105	102.1
LAC	76	80	85.7	19/32	24.5	99	110.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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