CHA 130-111 ORL, March 19, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat ORL 130-111, but ORL's shots were worth 115.5 points to CHA's 110.4.

CHA 130-111 ORL, March 19, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	80	106	88.4	24/27	22.0	130	110.4
ORL	93	92	98.3	19/21	17.2	111	115.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.