HOU 116-124 LAL, March 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat HOU 124-116, but HOU's shots were worth 116.9 points to LAL's 112.1.

HOU 116-124 LAL, March 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	91	101	103.9	15/17	13.0	116	116.9
LAL	76	107	91.1	17/27	21.1	124	112.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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