DAL 120-135 ATL, March 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat DAL 135-120, and ATL's shots were worth 118.9 points to DAL's 114.9.

DAL 120-135 ATL, March 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	86	95	92.7	25/29	22.2	120	114.9
ATL	102	124	107.9	11/14	11.0	135	118.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.