NOP 124-109 LAC, March 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat LAC 124-109, but LAC's shots were worth 118.2 points to NOP's 115.8.

NOP 124-109 LAC, March 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	83	104	98.9	20/21	17.0	124	115.8
LAC	88	99	107.8	10/13	10.3	109	118.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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