MIN 147-111 UTA, March 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat UTA 147-111, and MIN's shots were worth 142.4 points to UTA's 124.7.

MIN 147-111 UTA, March 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	96	122	119.3	25/30	23.1	147	142.4
UTA	93	93	104.9	18/26	19.8	111	124.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.