IND 119-127 POR, March 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat IND 127-119, and POR's shots were worth 142.8 points to IND's 111.8.

IND 119-127 POR, March 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	91	104	98.5	15/17	13.3	119	111.8
POR	101	106	122.5	21/26	20.3	127	142.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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