BOS 120-99 GSW, March 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat GSW 120-99, but GSW's shots were worth 114.6 points to BOS's 108.3.

BOS 120-99 GSW, March 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	92	102	93.0	18/19	15.3	120	108.3
GSW	90	82	95.5	17/24	19.0	99	114.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.