DEN 124-96 PHI, March 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat PHI 124-96, and DEN's shots were worth 122.3 points to PHI's 117.9.

DEN 124-96 PHI, March 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	86	102	97.3	22/31	25.0	124	122.3
PHI	94	83	106.0	13/15	11.9	96	117.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.